East to West: Seoul selling pressure

Declining peaks on Twiggs Trend Index and a tall shadow on this week’s candle warn of selling pressure on the Seoul Composite Index. Breach of support at 2300 would signal a primary down-trend.

Most other exchanges remain bullish, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index breaking resistance at 20200. Expect retracement to test the new support level. Respect would signal a fresh advance.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index is retracing to test its new support level at 3300. Declining peaks on the Trend Index warn of medium-term selling pressure. Respect of support would confirm a primary advance.

India’s NSE Nifty Index respected resistance at 10000/10100 and declining peaks on Twiggs Trend Index warn of medium-term selling pressure. Follow-through below the rising trendline would warn of a correction.

Target 10000 + ( 10000 – 9000 ) = 11000

Moving to Europe, Germany’s DAX consolidated ahead of the elections. The Trend Index trough at zero indicates buying pressure and a test of 13000 is likely.

The UK’s Footsie retraced to test its new resistance level at 7300. Respect would confirm a primary down-trend. Declining Twiggs Trend Index peaks, especially below zero, signal selling pressure. Follow-through below 7100 would strengthen the bear signal.

East to West

First, the canary in the coal mine, the Seoul Composite Index, found support at 2300. Follow-through above 2400 would be a bullish sign, suggesting a fresh advance.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index found support despite ICBMs flying overhead, rallying to test resistance at 20000. Recovery above 20000 is likely and would signal a fresh advance.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index is retracing to test its new support level at 3300. Respect is likely and would confirm a fresh advance.

India’s NSE Nifty Index is testing resistance at 10000/10100. Twiggs Trend Index oscillating above zero signals long-term buying pressure. Breakout is likely and would indicate a fresh advance with a long-term target of 11000*.

Target 10000 + ( 10000 – 9000 ) = 11000

Moving to Europe, Germany’s DAX rallied off support at 12000, suggesting a fresh advance. Recovery of the Trend Index above zero is bullish. Breakout above 13000 would signal another primary advance.

The UK’s Footsie, however, broke support at 7300 on the back of BREXIT worries, warning of a primary down-trend. Twiggs Trend Index peaks below zero signal selling pressure. Follow-through below 7100 would confirm a bear market.

Global correction

Global stock markets have mostly experienced selling pressure over the last two weeks but most of the activity is secondary in nature and, apart from longer-term issues in the UK and Canada, is unlikely to affect the primary up-trend.

Starting near the North Korean epicenter of the latest tensions, the Seoul Composite Index is largely unfazed. The monthly chart reflects a secondary correction with moderate selling pressure and no hint of panic selling.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index rallied after a modest correction.

While bearish divergence on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index warns of selling pressure and a secondary correction to test 26000.

India’s Sensex is undergoing a correction after breaking its rising trendline but found support at 31000.

Moving farther afield, Canada’s TSX 60 continues to consolidate in a narrow line below the former primary support level at 900. Declining Twiggs Money Flow warns of long-term selling pressure. Breach of support at 880 is likely and would confirm a primary down-trend.

Europe also experienced selling pressure, with the Footsie testing primary support at 7300. Breach of support would signal a primary down-trend.

Germany’s Dax found support at 12000. Respect, with a Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero, would indicate another primary advance.

DAX renews advance

Germany’s DAX is advancing after retracement respected its new support level at 12400/12500. Rising Twiggs Money Flow signals long-term buying pressure. Target for the advance is 13400*.

* Target calculation: 12400 + ( 12400 – 11400 ) = 13400

Germany: DAX retraces

Germany’s DAX is retracing to test its new support level at 12400/12500. Rising Twiggs Money Flow signals long-term buying pressure. Respect of support is likely and would confirm a primary advance, with a target of 13400*.

* Target calculation: 12400 + ( 12400 – 11400 ) = 13400

Europe strengthens

Germany’s DAX broke through resistance from its 2015 high, signaling a fresh advance with a long-term target of 15000.

France’s CAC-40 index displays a similar bullish breakout, above resistance at 5000/5200 to offer a target of 6000.

Europe advances

Germany’s DAX is testing the band of resistance between 12000 and its April 2015 high of 12400. Rising troughs on Twiggs Money Flow indicate strong buying pressure. Breakout is expected but we are likely to experience consolidation below 12400, or a moderate correction, ahead of this.

The FTSE 100 followed through above resistance at 7350, signaling another advance. Rising troughs on Twiggs Money Flow indicate strong buying pressure. Target for the advance is 7600*.

* Target: 7350 + ( 7350 – 7100 ) = 7600

Europe: Dax & Footsie strengthen

Both the DAX and FTSE 100 display Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero, indicating long-term buying pressure.

Germany’s DAX is approaching its 2015 high of 12400. Twiggs Money Flow signals long-term buying pressure but expect resistance between 12000 and 12400.

The FTSE 100 is retracing to test its new support level at 7000/7100. Rising Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Respect of support is likely and would signal an advance to 7500*.

* Target: 7100 + ( 7100 – 6700 ) = 7500

The DAX is back

Germany’s DAX broke out of its narrow line (or consolidation) between 10200 and 10800, signaling a primary advance with a target of 11500* and confirming a bull market.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX retreats

Germany’s DAX is retracing to test support at 10200. The DAX has formed a narrow line (or consolidation) between 10200 and 10800 over the last quarter. Declining Twiggs Money Flow is typical during a consolidation and does not have much significance unless it crosses below zero. Breakout will signal future direction, either an advance to 11500* or a test of support at 9000.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX in line

Germany’s DAX formed a narrow line (or consolidation) between 10200 and 10800 over the last quarter, in line with its earlier April/May highs. Declining Twiggs Money Flow is typical during a consolidation and does not have much significance unless it crosses below zero. Breakout above 10800 would signal a primary advance with a target of 11500*. Reversal below 10200, however, should not be ruled out before then.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX hesitates

Germany’s DAX is consolidating below 10800 but Twiggs Money Flow still reflects selling pressure. Breakout above 10800 would signal a primary advance with a target of 11500* but another test of 10200 looks equally likely.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX

Germany’s DAX is testing resistance at 10800 after a shallow, saucer-shaped correction. Declining Twiggs Money Flow has leveled off above zero. Breakout would signal a primary advance with a target of 11500*.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX levels off

Germany’s DAX is consolidating between 10200 and 10800. Declining Twiggs Money Flow has leveled off above zero. Recovery above 10800 would signal a primary advance with a target of 11500*.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX support at 10500

Germany’s DAX is testing support at 10500. Declining Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Follow-through below recent lows would warn of a correction to the rising long-term trendline.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

Europe: DAX & Footsie on the mend

Germany’s DAX is testing support at 10500. Respect would confirm the primary up-trend. This week’s long tail and a Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero indicate buying pressure. Follow-through above 10800 would complete a bear trap — a bullish signal with a target of 11500*.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

The FTSE 100 is also rallying, to test long-term resistance at 7000/7100. Rising troughs on Twiggs Money flow signal long-term buying pressure.

DAX bear trap

Germany’s DAX recovered above the former support level of 10500, confirming the primary up-trend. A Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would signal long-term buying pressure. Follow-through above 10800 would complete a bear trap — a bullish signal with a target of 11500*.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

Europe on the mend

Germany’s DAX is holding above its new support level at 10500. Respect, with follow-through above 10800, would confirm the primary up-trend.

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

France’s CAC-40 Index is consolidating in a narrow band between 4400 and 4500. Upward breakout would suggest a primary up-trend. Follow-through above 4600, completing a broad double bottom, would confirm. Rising Twiggs Money Flow reflects buying pressure.

The Footsie retreated from resistance at 7000 but short candles and strong Twiggs Money Flow, high above zero, suggest long-term buying pressure. Expect strong resistance between 7000 and 7100. Correction to 6500 would establish a more stable base for further advances.

* Target calculation: 6500 + ( 6500 – 5900 ) = 7100